12/02/2009

College Football Pick ‘Em – Week 14

It all comes down to this.  The last week.  My picks will be up tomorrow.  Your picks are due by Friday.  Post them here or email me.

Week 14 Games

Cincinnati (-2) @ Pittsburgh – O/U: 57.5
Florida (-5.5) vs. Alabama – O/U: 41.5
USF @ UConn (-7.5) – O/U: 53
Georgia Tech (-1) vs. Clemson – O/U: 55
Texas (-14) vs. Nebraska – O/U: 44

Current Standings and Leaders

1. Gatrmike – 105 (54%)
2. KP – 98 (50%)
3. One Eyed Willy – 95 (49%)
4. The Bull Gator – 89 (46%)

Winners: Gatrmike – 66%
Point Spread: KP – 43%
Over/Under: Gatrmike – 55%
Weeks Won: Gatrmike – 7
High Week: Gatrmike (Week 7) – 12
Low Week: One Eyed Willy (Week 11) – 3
 

CBSSports.com BlogPoll - Week 13

Rank
Team
Change
1
Florida
2
Texas
3
Alabama
4
TCU
5
Cincinnati
6
Boise State
7
Oregon
2
8
Ohio State
2
9
Iowa
3
10
Penn State
3
11
Pittsburgh
3
12
Georgia Tech
5
13
Virginia Tech
2
14
LSU
2
15
Oregon State
1
16
Southern Cal
2
17
Miami (Florida)
3
18
Brigham Young
3
19
Houston
3
20
Oklahoma State
9
21
California
2
22
West Virginia
23
Nebraska
24
Utah
5
25
Stanford

Last week's ballot

Dropped Out: Clemson (#17), Mississippi (#24), North Carolina (#25).
 

A Recent History: USF vs. UConn

USF and UConn have played closer games than most would probably expect.  Typically thought of as a basketball school, Connecticut surprises from time to time on the football field and is 2-2 against the Bulls in Big East play over the previous four seasons.  With the exception of a 22-point win by USF in 2006, the other three matchups have been decided by a total of only 16 points.

In 2005, the Bulls were 6-3 (4-1) before a 15-10 loss to the Huskies started a three game slide to end the season.  The game was defined by five Bulls’ turnovers.  Neither team would light it up on offense and it was quite an embarrassment on that side of the ball.  Following the loss, USF would only score 13 total points in its final two games which included its first-ever shutout.

The following season, the Bulls would rebound from an early season two-game slide by trouncing the Huskies 38-16.  The USF running attack would do in the Huskies as the Bulls put up 205 yards on 41 carries.  USF was led by Benjamin Williams’ 108 yards and one score and Matt Grothe’s 82 yards and three touchdowns.

2007 was the year of the famous number two ranking.  UConn would beat USF for the second loss of the three-game slide that occurred following the Bulls’ 6-0 start.  USF would never lead despite 146 yards on the ground from Grothe.  Of course, his two interceptions played a big part of the Bulls always trailing.  UConn running back Andre Dixon had his best game of the season, totaling 167 yards rushing.  It was the second week straight the Bulls had given up at least that much on the ground to one back.

And last season, the Bulls ended a three- game losing streak with a 17-13 win over UConn.  Similar to the USF/Louisville series, this is one where the home team keeps coming out on top.  In the 2008 game, neither team did much offensively.  The two squads only completed 19 total passes, but ran the ball a combined 80 times.  It was far from a ground battle though.  Together, the Bulls and Huskies only averaged 3.3 yards per carry.

Heading into the final regular season game, USF is looking to end the season on a positive note and secure a winning conference record.  UConn is hoping to pad a resume that at the moment is bowl game borderline.  Although a matchup between two middle-of-the-road Big East teams, it’s an important one for both programs.
 

12/01/2009

A Recent History: Florida vs. Alabama

We could go back to the days of Bear Bryant or even only as far back as those of Steve Spurrier, but what fun is that?  You’ll be doing enough reminiscing with your relatives over the holidays, so for now we’ll stick to the recent years.  The Urban Meyer era.

The SEC Championship Game will be the fourth time a Meyer-coached Florida team has faced Alabama.  And the second time in two years the conference title and a shot at the BCS National Championship have been on the line.  It all started before trophies had anything to do with the outcome.

In 2005, Meyer and the Gators had started out 4-0 before running into a Crimson Tide wall.  During Meyer’s time as the head coach of Florida, he has only lost one game by more than 12 points (pretty impressive when you think about it, huh?).  That one game was a 31-3 loss to Alabama.  Look at the statistics and the game doesn’t look all that bad.  But the 28-point Tide advantage speaks for itself.  This was also the famous game in which Tyrone Prothro’s leg did things no one’s should ever do.  That’s typically what Protho is remembered for, but before the injury, he dominated Florida to the tune of five catches for 134 yards and two touchdowns.  The game is remembered by Gator fans as one of the most one-sided defeats in recent history.

The next year, Florida would get its revenge on the way to a national title.  Alabama led 10-7 after the first half of play, but the Gators would score three touchdowns in the final two quarters to get a 28-13 victory.  The Florida secondary would pick off John Parker Wilson three times including one by All-American safety Reggie Nelson that was returned 70 yards for the final score of the game.  Fans will remember this game for the Gators 1966 throwback uniforms and for a certain true freshman by the name of Tim Tebow scoring the second rushing touchdown of his young career.

 Fast forward to this time last year when the Gators and Tide faced off for the SEC Championship.  Alabama came into the game at 12-0 and ranked number one.  Florida wasn’t that far behind at 11-1 and ranked fourth.  The game remained tight through three quarters with the Tide holding a three-point lead heading into the fourth.  It was at that point, Tebow put the Gators on his back and carried them to a victory.  Not turning over the ball the entire game, Florida was able to control the game in the fourth and score 14 points to win 31-20.  A few weeks later, the Gators would win their second national title under Meyer.

And now to this Saturday.  The teams are a combined 24-0 and occupy the top spots in the BCS Standings and the AP Poll.  If it weren’t for four other undefeated teams, this could be a situation where if the game was close, we could see a rematch for the national title.  People have their thoughts for why both sides will win, but regardless, it should be a great game, similar to 2008.
 

Buy/Sell College Football Pool - Week 13 Update

Only one flip in places.  Of course, since I didn't post an update last week, there may have been a little more movement, but it really doesn't matter at this point.  With only a few more polls left, there won't be a lot of movement among the ranks at this point in the season, but there could still be some upsets here and there that cause some shifting.

1. KP - 60
2. The Bull Gator - 54
3. Mrs. TBG - 32
4. Sammy - 27
5. Willy's Biotch -3
6. One Eyed Willy - (7)
7. AP - (12)

CBSSports.com BlogPoll – Week 13 – First Take

Give your thoughts.  The real ballot will be submitted tomorrow.

1. Florida
2. Texas
3. Alabama
4. TCU
5. Cincinnati
6. Boise State
7. Oregon (+2)
8. Ohio State (+2)
9. Iowa (+3)
10. Penn State (+3)
11. Pittsburgh (-3)
12. Georgia Tech (-5)
13. Virginia Tech (+2)
14. LSU (+2)
15. Oregon State (-1)
16. USC (+2)
17. Miami (+3)
18. BYU (+3)
19. Houston (+3)
20. Oklahoma State (-9)
21. Cal (+2)
22. West Virginia
23. Nebraska
24. Utah (-5)
25. Stanford
 

11/28/2009

Game Preview: FSU Seminoles @ Florida Gators – 11/28 – 3:30

It still amazes me that someone at one of the networks didn’t think for even a second “wait a minute if we have Florida school versus Florida school on at 3:30 too, we’ll lose some viewers to the other Florida school versus Florida school broadcast!”  Well amazed is a little strong.  Few things amaze me from television stations that actually give Jenna Elfman the opportunity to be seen nationwide on a weekly basis.  Down with Dharma, and up with 10 things about Florida/FSU.

1. The uniforms.  In another life I work in marketing, but you don’t need a degree in the promotional arts to sniff out a Nike money making attempt.  This is the company that got a swoosh on the Penn State uniforms.  So what we have is a futuristic attempt at a football uniform.  It tries, and fails, to give us some insight to what the coming years could bring.  The white helmet is a nice touch at first, taking us back to 1966, or 2006 and those gorgeous throwbacks.  But when the Florida font F is revealed, the one good part of the ensemble is instantly ruined.  As for the rest of the getup, all blue can look great, those pant stripes destroy any hope of that.  And while the gloves are a nice touch, they have to be positioned perfectly to give the desired affect.  All-in-all, the uniforms are a fail from a visual standpoint, but another success for Nike.  After all, they flew off shelves in a similar fashion to those orange-sleeved monstrosities from 2005.

2. Senior day.  Markihe Anderson, Rick Burgess, Riley Cooper, Jermaine Cunningham, Dustin Doe, Troy Epps, Cade Holliday, Brandon James, Dorian Munroe, David Nelson, Jonathan Phillips, Wondy Pierre-Louis, Joey Sorrentino, Brandon Spikes, Ryan Stamper, Tim Tebow, and Mike WilliamsonCarl Moore, we’ll see you in 2010.

3. Random Omarius Hines fact.  Welcome to the touchdown club Omarius.  Your arrival was eagerly awaited.

4. Tim Tebow.  What kind of Gator fan would I be if I didn’t at least mention Tebow’s last game in The Swamp?  It’s been talked about ad nauseam for weeks.  The last time #15 will command the offense in Gainesville.  His last hurrah in Ben Hill Griffin Stadium at Florida Field.  Love him or hate him (and if you hate him, take a second to be honest with yourself, it’s because of the media explosion surrounding him, not the man himself…and if you still think it’s because of Tebow the person, I speak for everyone else in saying we’re all glad you’ve finally come to the realization that you’re an idiot), this is a historic moment.  One of the best to ever put on a uniform is playing in his final home game.

5. Could this be one of the last games Bobby Bowden ever coaches?  Who cares?  For those of you non-Florida fans that are sick of hearing about Tim Tebow, well us non-FSU fans feel the same way with every “new” Bowden article.  But sit any level-headed (that’s the key here) one of us down and we’ll full admit the legendary status of the Seminole head coach and what he has done for both the FSU program and the game of college football.  Maybe he overstayed.  Maybe he lost his touch years ago.  Maybe he’ll surprise us all and stick around for another year and produce a winner.  None of us really know.  What we know is the man will go down as one of the greatest influences on the history of the game and like Tebow, love him or hate him, you can’t deny that.

6. The juniors.  It seems that there could be a good number of juniors playing their last game in The Swamp.  More so than the Gators have seen in quite some time.  If I had to guess, Carlos Dunlap, Joe Haden, and Aaron Hernandez are locks to leave.  It’s hard for me to picture any of the three of them in orange and blue in 2010.  If one were to surprise us and return for his senior year, it may be Hernandez, but I would think all three will be playing on Sundays in less than a year.  Maurkice Pouncey and Mike Pouncey recently said there’s a good chance they could leave as well.  This is one I’m on the fence about.  The twins are very talented, there’s no doubt about that.  But there are two things playing against them when it comes to the NFL Draft in 2010.  The first: neither are tackles.  Not that interior linemen aren’t valuable, but you have to blow people away to be picked as high as tackles go if you’re a center or guard.  And the second: neither twin played as well in 2009 than they did in 2008.  The twins have elevated their game in recent weeks, but the first half of the season (maybe even a little more of it) was a tough time to be a Gator offensive lineman.  That being the case, I believe both would be best served to come back for their senior year and show scouts what they can do protecting more of a true pocket passer in John Brantley.

7. Charlie Strong.  We might as well continue riding this gravy train.  This could be the last time we see Strong on the sidelines at The Swamp as well.  One of these days he’ll get that job offer we’ve all been expecting him to get.  And after the initial “NO!  He was supposed to stay here forever!” moment, we’ll be happy for him.  I just hope Strong doesn’t settle for something.  I know Memphis is going in a different direction, but that’s not a job for him any way.  If Dan Mullen can get Mississippi State, surely Strong can get a BCS head coaching job as well.  And yes, expect me to cheer openly for wherever strong ends up.

8. Sigh, Greg Reid.  Reid is going to be a very good football player.  In fact, he may already be.  But Greg, you sounded like an idiot this week.  You called out a football coach for being cocky.  I’ve said this before, but in case you missed it…ANYONE ASSOCIATED WITH A FOOTBALL PROGRAM SHOULD BE COCKY!  Players, coaches, whoever.  This is football.  How do you succeed without some level of confidence at least bordering on cockiness?  Reid said “It was kind of disappointing. [Urban Meyer] was talking to me like Florida was the world.”  Keep in mind, Reid waited until now to tell us this.  What in the world did you expect Greg?  We wouldn’t want Meyer as a coach if he didn’t think Florida was the world.  His job is to win football games and turn Florida into the best program in the nation.  That’s any coach’s job at any school.  And when it comes to recruiting, his job is to tell recruits why Florida is the world and why coming there is the best thing that could happen to a kid.  Comment all you want about returning a punt to the house.  Even say what you like about Jimbo Fisher, but claiming you don’t do cocky?  Give us a break.  Cocky, or whatever you want to call it, has gotten the Gators to 11-0 at this point.  If you don’t do cocky, maybe you don’t do winning either.

9. An upset would make FSU’s season.  Heading into the regular season finale against the #1 team in the nation while being 6-5 isn’t an ideal position to be in for any program.  When it’s Florida State and that game is against your biggest rival, it’s downright vomit-inducing.  But if the world flipped itself upside down and somehow the Noles pulled off the unthinkable, it would be the story of the year.  The Gators have let a number of teams hang around this year and now is definitely not the time for that.  Be the story in the positive way.  Be the Florida team that finished the regular season perfect.  Play your game, limit mistakes, and get the win.

10. Forget everything else.  Imagine if there was no SEC Championship Game next weekend.  Imagine if bowl games and the BCS didn’t exist (I know a lot of you probably like to imagine that last part).  Imagine if there was no next year.  This is it.  This is the next game.  This is the final game.  It’s been a while since Florida clinched the SEC East and a chance to play for the conference championship.  The Gators and Alabama have been on a crash course to a rematch all season and it was realized when both teams clinched their division titles.  But that doesn’t matter and must be forgotten today.  All that matters is beating FSU.  Getting past today’s opponent.  Not playing down because you’re looking ahead.  Texas let Texas A&M keep it interesting for a while.  Illinois kept it closer than many expected against Cincinnati.  Don’t look ahead.  Just win today.
 

11/27/2009

Game Preview: Miami Hurricanes @ USF Bulls – 11/28 – 3:30

On to the next of the big three from the state of Florida.  Significance increased.  USF gets its second shot at Miami.  An improved Hurricane team at that.  Here are five things to look for…

1. State bragging rights. Florida seems to have locked that up at the moment due to the fact they are the number one team in the nation.  But the Gators only play one of the state’s other big programs this season.  USF and Miami each play two.  Both teams already have wins over FSU and now they face off against each other.  Taking down another of the big three would be a huge boost to the Bulls’ program and propel USF into the regular season finale against UConn on the top of the world.

2. B.J. Daniels vs. Jacory Harris.  Daniels and Harris are more similar than some might think.  They have very different styles when it comes to playing quarterback, but a certain statistic lingers over both of their heads.  Collectively, the two have been on the losing side six times this season.  Those six games are the only games in which the two quarterbacks threw more interceptions than they did touchdowns.  In his three losses, Daniels has thrown one touchdown and six interceptions.  In his three, Harris has thrown three TDs and eight picks.  So go the QBs, so go their teams.

3. Just score.  This is definitely a game where USF may have to keep up with the Canes.  The 17-7 result against FSU is not likely to be duplicated.  Miami has only scored less than 20 once this year and they haven’t gone under 24 since October 3rd.  USF, on the other hand, has scored 17 or less in three of their last five and hasn’t outscored an opponent by more than 14 since September 19th.  The Bulls keep things close in wins and the same may have to happen again.  This could be a high scoring affair.

4. The run game.  The Canes will be gunning for Daniels so it’s important the Bulls get one of the running backs going early and often.  If USF can’t put together drives that take a good amount of time off the clock, they could be in trouble.  Daniels having success on the ground is very important, but so is getting someone not wearing #7 going as well.  Three and outs or drives that only take a couple of minutes off the clock are unacceptable on Saturday.

5. 10 wins.  Three to go.
 

11/26/2009

5 Florida Things I’m Thankful For

I’m not particularly thankful for the uniforms Florida will be wearing this weekend.  I’m a big fan of white helmets.  The clean, crisp look was always a favorite of mine.  But the rest of the uniform (including the Florida font F on said helmets) is an atrocious excuse for Nike to make a little more money.  Of course, there are a lot of Gator-related things I am thankful for.

1. Aaron Hernandez.  In a year in which the receiving corps has been questioned on more than one occasion, Hernandez has been the consistent bright spot.  Riley Cooper has performed as well, but there are some key drops that come to mind that leave #11 off this list.  Hernandez on the other hand looks every bit the world-class recruit he was coming out of his school.  But don’t get too used to seeing him dominate on the field.  This is most likely it for Hernandez.  For a guy his size to as athletic as he is, it would do him little good to return for his senior season.

2. Yards per carry.  Yes, the numbers have leveled off as the season has progressed, but you still can’t complain about 7.1, 6.2, and 7.3.  Florida’s three top runners not named Tim TebowJeff Demps, Chris Rainey, and Emmanuel Moody – all average over six yards per carry.  That was also the case during last season’s national championship run.  When the passing game struggles, the Gators can usually rely on one of the backs to get the offense going.  And all three will be back in 2010.  Something to look forward to and be thankful for all over again next year.

3. Charlie Strong.  I don’t want Strong to ever get a head coaching job.  I mean he obviously deserves a shot at this time, but for purely selfish purposes, I hope to not see him on another sideline anytime soon.  What he’s done with the defenses of the past few years has been remarkable.  It definitely doesn’t hurt that he gets to work with some of the most talented players in the nation, but Strong is the mastermind behind the defense and he’s one of the team’s top recruiters.  Kids want to play for Strong and who can blame them.

4. Jermaine Cunningham.  Cunningham’s presence over his four years as a Gator are rarely recognized, but he is critical to the success of the defensive line.  There have been bigger names and linemates who have received more acclaim, but few have been as consistent as Cunningham.  He forces offensive lines to pay full attention to both sides of the defensive line.  He’s been solid defending the run for quite some time and has been increasingly dangerous over the years as a pass rusher.  Just make sure you get his sandwich order right!

5. 11-0.  For all the complaints we’ve heard about Florida and the stuttering offense over the course of the season, the Gators head into their game against FSU at 11-0.  That’s perfect ladies and gentlemen.  Florida got through its regular season SEC schedule undefeated.  There were close games, some rightfully so and some that probably shouldn’t have been, but the Gators are still 11-0.  Be thankful.
 

5 USF Things I’m Thankful For

Let me start by saying I am absolutely NOT thankful for parades.  I know I’m in the minority here (along with those that can’t stand Jimmy Buffett music and wish U2 would jump off a bridge).  But enough about my own inner disdain for certain things because I am thankful for college football.  Two programs in particular.  So starting with the little brother of sorts, here are 5 USF things I’m thankful for.

1. B.J. Daniels.  Yes, the redshirt freshman has his up-and-downs.  Yes, sometimes I find myself yelling at the television wondering why he attempted a certain throw.  Yes, I wish he wouldn’t always rely on his feet to get him out of a jam when he could just throw the ball away.  But all-in-all, Daniels is a special talent and has a chance to lead USF to new heights.  If you had told me a program would lose their four-year starting, Big East record holding quarterback early in the season and still get to 7-3 with two of those losses coming to teams ranked in the top nine, I would’ve told you that you had lost it.  But that’s where the Bulls are right now and Daniels has played a big part.

2. Jim Leavitt.  We give Leavitt a hard time around here.  I think most of it has to do with the fact that myself and a few of the regulars have watched USF since the beginning and have seen them build something special in such a short time then get to a point where they can’t go any higher.  It’s not that they won’t under Leavitt.  It’s not that they can’t under Leavitt.  We just wonder if he can get them to that next level.  10 wins.  A Big East title.  Hell, even a finish in the top three.  A major bowl.  We wonder if he’s done all he can.  But even if he has, I’m thankful for him.  He is Bulls’ football and no one can ever question his loyalty or passion.

3. Rutgers.  Bear with me on this one.  We had some debate over USF’s true rivals before the game against Rutgers.  To me, West Virginia was the truer rival with some great battles in the past few years while Rutgers was a close second that just flat out had the Bulls’ number.  Either way, I didn’t believe USF had a bonafied “hated” rival.  The program was just too young.  Fans disliked a number of teams, but to get the label of hated would take some more work and years.  Well, it’s now official.  Rutgers is now the Bulls’ most hated rival.  After their complete domination of USF a few weeks ago, there’s nothing more Bulls’ fans want than to absolutely destroy the Scarlet Knights in 2010.  That will be the game circled on the schedule as soon as the 2009 season comes to an end.

4. The win over FSU.  So beating the Seminoles this year is definitely nothing to brag about.  We all know that.  But beating one of the state’s big three, in their house, for the first time in program history???  Come on, you have to admit that’s a nice thing to look back at.  It was Daniels’ first start and, oh yeah, he’s from Tallahassee.  FSU was coming off a big win over BYU in which they looked like an offensive juggernaut.  So the Noles turned out to be a team that looks like it could finish the regular season 6-6, but that shouldn’t negate the significance of the win for USF.

5. Jason Pierre-Paul.  USF has put together quite the defensive line.  Adding Pierre-Paul to George Selvie this year has produced some games where the Bulls appear to have one of the best lines in the nation.  JPP’s quick progression has even had some projecting him as a potential first-round draft pick if he were to enter after the 2009 season.  Let’s hope he doesn’t declare because the loss of Selvie will hurt enough.  USF has a number of young linemen on the roster, but losing both of the stars will create a void the Bulls’ defense doesn’t need in 2010.  Be thankful for him now, because he might not be around much longer.